2017/18 Preview Part III

Here’s the third part of our club by club guide to the 2017/18 Sky Bet Championship season.

The odds for promotion and relegation were sourced from Oddschecker.com on July 1st and will fluctuate as the season progresses.

Leeds United
  • Manager: Thomas Christiansen (June 2017), eighth season in the Championship
  • Last 10: 2-4-4
  • Promotion 11/2, relegation 14/1

Their highest league position for six years – based on one of the best home defensive records in the competition – wasn’t enough to see United qualify for the playoffs and both the failure to reach the playoffs and the long anticipated change at boardroom level seem to have led to Garry Monk moving to one of the club’s immediate rivals. His successor is untried in English football and by the time he gets used to the Championship it’s possible Leeds may have a lot of ground to make up to reach the playoffs.

Fun fact: Leeds finished seventh in the old Second Division at the end of the 1922/23 season but went on to win the title at the end of the following campaign.

  • Manager: Garry Monk (June 2017), relegated from the Premier League
  • Last 10: 1-3-7 (Premier League)
  • Promotion 9/4, relegation: 50/1

On paper, Monk’s appointment is a solid one for a team that had clearly lost its way under Aitor Karanka and hasn’t won an away game since last August; and the speed with which he left Leeds indicates that Steve Gibson clearly knows what he wants. The chairman’s hands off approach has worked with his managers in the past but the big question is whether Brett Assombalonga is going to justify such a large fee. He’s never played a full season at any club and hasn’t managed over 40 games since 2012/13.

Fun fact: the last time both Middlesbrough and Sunderland were both relegated from the Premier League, they finished in second and third place in the second tier at the end of the following season. Only Middlesbrough were promoted: Sunderland lost to Charlton on penalties in the playoff final.

  • Manager: Neil Harris (March 2015), promoted from League One
  • Last 10: 6-2-2 (League One, including playoffs)
  • Promotion 33/1, relegation 5/4

Back after two seasons away, it’ll be interesting to see how the Lions respond to a promotion that looked unlikely for most of the season. The FA Cup run proved to both a distraction and inspiration, but their play off spot was only confirmed in the last game of the season and they seized the opportunity with both hands. Having written that, their away form in League One was average (they lost at two of the clubs that were eventually relegated) and they’ve only finished in the top half of the Championship once in the last decade. They proved last season that on their day they can beat anyone, but there’ll need to be quite a few of those days this season if Millwall want to stay out of a relegation dogfight.

Fun fact: Millwall’s last away win in the Championship was at Birmingham in February 2015.

Norwich City
  • Manager: Daniel Farke (May 2017), second season in the Championship
  • Last 10: 5-2-3
  • Promotion 7/2, relegation 40/1

To many neutrals, Alex Neil’s dismissal in March was harsh and seems to have been based on the idea that Norwich should have made more of their aim to win promotion back to the Premier League after an impressive start eventually came to nothing. Last season only Brighton and Reading won more points at home and nobody scored more goals in their home games than the Canaries; if you’re going to nitpick, their record against the teams that eventually finished above them wasn’t good enough, but with three of those sides missing this season and a couple of the others due to suffer playoff hangovers, Daniel Farke may find most of the spadework has been done for him, even though defensively they can be suspect.

Fun fact: last season only Brentford failed to score against Norwich in both league games

Nottingham Forest
  • Manager: Mark Warburton (March 2017), tenth season in the Championship
  • Last 10: 3-2-5
  • Promotion: 12/1, relegation: 11/2

Other than finally managing to sell the club in mid-May, Warburton’s appointment was arguably the best thing the Al-Hasawi family did since they took over at Forest. However, this is a far tougher job than either Brentford or Glasgow Rangers were and although now owner Evangelos Marinakis talks a good game, the Championship is not the Greek Super League. The club has been in decline for several seasons now and were one of the trio that faced relegation on the last day. I can only see this season going two ways: an improvement to mid-table levels or a total disaster from day one. Two away wins last season, the second worse defence in the section and the departure of Brett Assombalonga indicate the latter.

Fun fact: it’s been 19 seasons since Forest played in the Premier League, the longest time in the history of the club that it’s been outside the top tier.

Preston North End
  • Manager: Alex Neil (July 2017), Third season in the Championship
  • Last 10: 2-3-5
  • Promotion 12/1, relegation 5/1

Simon Grayson’s post-season departure for Sunderland made some sense, but I’ll be discussing that in the next post. Alex Neil’s appointment also makes sense in so far as he’s been successful at so-called unfashionable clubs: the former Norwich boss could provide the impetus that turns the Lillywhites from an average mid-table side into playoff challengers and he certainly won’t need motivating after his departure from Carrow Road. If that’s going to happen, North End really need to work on improving their away form against the top sides in the competition. In 2016/17 they lost seven of their ten matches at the clubs who eventually finished above them. That price for relegation looks far too short and should be avoided.

Fun fact: Despite have been founder members of the Football League, Preston have only finished eleventh in any division on four occasions – including twice in the last two seasons.

Author: Mike Roberts

A football fan since the 1970s, I take my inspiration from the standard of writing that made Shoot! magazine streets ahead of anything else back in the day. I'm also a complete and utter stathead, which I blame on being exposed to American sports at the end of my teens.